Decisions

How to protect against the sunk cost fallacy

The sunk cost fallacy refers to the tendency to continue investing in a decision, project, or activity because of the resources that have already been invested, rather than based on its current value or potential for future returns.

For example, a person may continue to work on a failing business because they have already invested a lot of time and money, even though it would be more rational to cut their losses and move on to a more promising opportunity. Or a company may continue to invest in a product line that is not performing well, simply because they have already invested significant resources into its development and marketing. Or hold onto underperforming assets, such as real estate or stocks, because they have already invested significant resources into them.

Here are some ways to protect yourself from the sunk cost fallacy:

  1. Focus on future value: Instead of thinking about the resources already invested, focus on the potential future returns of a decision.
  2. Be realistic: Be honest about the current situation and the likelihood of future success, and weigh it against the potential benefits.
  3. Seek advice: Get a second opinion from someone who is not emotionally invested in the decision, such as a trusted friend, mentor, or financial advisor.
  4. Avoid emotional attachment: Try to avoid becoming too emotionally attached to a decision, as this can make it difficult to abandon it, even when it is no longer rational.
  5. Keep records: Keep records of the resources invested in a decision, and periodically review them to help maintain a clear perspective.
  6. Avoid the escalation of commitment: Be aware of the tendency to continue investing in a decision because of the resources already invested, and take steps to avoid this trap.

By following these steps, you can protect yourself from the sunk cost fallacy and make decisions based on current value and potential for future returns, rather than past investments.